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Oil prices affects the worlds monetry markets.
GBP/EURO: Currently trading at 1.2551
After an initial gain in the rate on Friday morning, it reversed course over the rest of the day after meeting resistance around 1.2595, holding within the 1.25 range. There were no major economic releases from either the UK or the Eurozone.
There are no major releases expected from either the UK or the Eurozone today. As a result, the rate may remain around this level, while markets keep an eye on risk sentiment and commodities. Later in the week, markets will look for employment data from the UK and the ECB’s meeting on Thursday, likely to be a non-event following March’s stimulus announcements.
Oil prices and commodity currencies weakened heading into this morning’s session after yesterday’s oil summit in Doha failed to result in an agreement to freeze production levels. Saudi Arabia reiterated its demand that other producers, including Iran, commit to the freeze. Iran intends to return production to pre-sanction levels before considering freezing production. While anticipation of a deal had led to gains in oil prices, the ongoing supply glut remains a risk to oil price strength even if a deal is agreed. Given a lighter economic calendar today, market movement may be guided largely by oil prices and Fed comments. FOMC Members Dudley (1:30pm), Kashkari, and Rosengren are among the day’s speakers and will provide the final Fed comments ahead of next week’s meeting. Markets will look for any updated guidance following last week’s under-forecast US inflation and industrial production releases. The main release today is Canada’s Foreign Securities Purchases.
CaxtonFX are currently (15:55) offering €1.2317 to the £ when you load your Euro Debit Card.
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